Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
NIVEA - Trousse Men – Routine complète pour homme - Gel Douche Sensitive 250ml + Mousse à Raser 200ml + Roll on Deep beat
SKU · AAE9A400122110013545

NIVEA - Trousse Men – Routine complète pour homme - Gel Douche Sensitive 250ml + Mousse à Raser 200ml + Roll on Deep beat

hero 1P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

54
▼ 32.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 83
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAE9A400122110013545

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 370 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

NIVEA - Trousse Men – Routine complète pour homme - Gel Douche Sensitive 250ml + Mousse à Raser 200ml + Roll on Deep beat · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 54 units, trending down -32.5% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 54 units · prev 4w = 80 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week31.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks88.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months150.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week48.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)166.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)370.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)11.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 30.6K