Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A3600111014332
Lot de 2 tasses en verre à double paroi 150 ml – KAE1703_MJ
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▲ 58.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
96
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
50
≈ 15.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAE9A3600111014332
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 165 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 2 tasses en verre à double paroi 150 ml – KAE1703_MJ · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending up +58.3% · on-hand 51 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 27.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 82.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 52.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 164.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.6K |