Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A3101161056569
Maybelline New York Lifter Concealer – Haute Couvrance - Tenue Longue Durée - Hydrate et Illumine - Teinte : 15 - 11 ml
longtail
1P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-07-07
1P stock
9
≈ 14.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-07-07
Unit price
MAD 93
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-07-04
AAE9A3101161056569
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-29 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Maybelline New York Lifter Concealer – Haute Couvrance - Tenue Longue Durée - Hydrate et Illumine - Teinte : 15 - 11 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.33 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |