Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A2811071122112
Drap housse - GENERIC - 90x190 cm - Flanelle douce - Lavable - Uni
longtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 233.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
7
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
7
≈ 17.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 86
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-10-09
AAE9A2811071122112
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 98 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Drap housse - GENERIC - 90x190 cm - Flanelle douce - Lavable - Uni · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +233.3% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 6.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 98.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.5K |