Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A244804201244812
AAE9A244804201244812
longtail
1P
MULTISPORT
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 81.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-09-13
AAE9A244804201244812
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 87 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAE9A244804201244812 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -81.8% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (91 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 86.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.5K |