Demand Forecast

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Maybelline New York - Baume Huile Hydratant - Lèvres Lissées et Brillantes - Lifter Glaze 002 Pink Drip
SKU · AAE9A2001061027807

Maybelline New York - Baume Huile Hydratant - Lèvres Lissées et Brillantes - Lifter Glaze 002 Pink Drip

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 55.6% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

22
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 77
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-07-26

AAE9A2001061027807

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline New York - Baume Huile Hydratant - Lèvres Lissées et Brillantes - Lifter Glaze 002 Pink Drip · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -55.6% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week2.9 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks11.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months36.4 units
Optimistic — next week4.9 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)20.6 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)70.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.4K