Demand Forecast

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Casquette New Era Diamond Era Ess 9Forty des Yankees de New York
SKU · AAE9A1922910100501-0001

Casquette New Era Diamond Era Ess 9Forty des Yankees de New York

longtail 1P ACCESSOIRE MODE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

9
▼ 18.2% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

67
≈ 28.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 155
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03

AAE9A1922910100501-0001

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Casquette New Era Diamond Era Ess 9Forty des Yankees de New York · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -18.2% · on-hand 67 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 11 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months38.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)35.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)148.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 22.9K