Demand Forecast

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Casquette New Era Diamond Era Ess 9Forty des Yankees de New York
SKU · AAE9A1922910100501-0001

Casquette New Era Diamond Era Ess 9Forty des Yankees de New York

longtail 1P ACCESSOIRE MODE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

9
▼ 55.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

39
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

39
≈ 14.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05

Unit price

MAD 165
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01

AAE9A1922910100501-0001

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 168 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Casquette New Era Diamond Era Ess 9Forty des Yankees de New York · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -55.0% · on-hand 40 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (266 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.56 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 20 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week4.5 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks18.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months79.1 units
Optimistic — next week7.9 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)35.9 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)168.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 27.9K