Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A1912010406549
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Couleur lightgray
longtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
32
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
32
≈ 21.9 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAE9A1912010406549
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Couleur lightgray · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +75.0% · on-hand 32 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (189 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.56 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 74.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.9K |