Demand Forecast

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Baume Hydratant CeraVe – Peau Sèche à Très Sèche – 340g + Trousse Offerte
SKU · AAE9A1503250935311

Baume Hydratant CeraVe – Peau Sèche à Très Sèche – 340g + Trousse Offerte

midtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▲ 25.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

38
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

38
≈ 11.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05

Unit price

MAD 128
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-26

AAE9A1503250935311

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Baume Hydratant CeraVe – Peau Sèche à Très Sèche – 340g + Trousse Offerte · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +25.0% · on-hand 38 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (119 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 4 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week4.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks17.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months64.0 units
Optimistic — next week6.9 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)33.7 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)144.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 18.5K