Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A1503240316383
Mixa Crème Céramide Protection 400ml
midtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
53
▼ 19.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
73
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
7
≈ 0.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 91
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAE9A1503240316383
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mixa Crème Céramide Protection 400ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 53 units, trending down -19.7% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (126 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.44 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 53 units · prev 4w = 66 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |