Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : Sérum Hydra -Texturisant + Shampoing = TROUSSE BLANCHE
SKU · AAE9A1411111044238

OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : Sérum Hydra -Texturisant + Shampoing = TROUSSE BLANCHE

midtail 1P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

16
▼ 61.9% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

128
≈ 21.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 70
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAE9A1411111044238

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 166 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : Sérum Hydra -Texturisant + Shampoing = TROUSSE BLANCHE · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -61.9% · on-hand 128 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (168 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 42 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week4.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks20.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months49.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week10.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)64.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)166.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.6K