Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A1411111044238
OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : Sérum Hydra -Texturisant + Shampoing = TROUSSE BLANCHE
hero
1P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 85.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
48
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
48
≈ 6.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 60
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAE9A1411111044238
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 345 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : Sérum Hydra -Texturisant + Shampoing = TROUSSE BLANCHE · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -85.9% · on-hand 49 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 71 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 30.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 147.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 64.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 344.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.7K |