Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A11301270428693
Saladier en porcelaine 23 cm – Motif Feuillage Printanier
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
99
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
52
≈ 20.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 14
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAE9A11301270428693
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 20 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Saladier en porcelaine 23 cm – Motif Feuillage Printanier · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 52 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (126 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 19.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 270 |