Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A11301270428693
Saladier en porcelaine 23 cm – Motif Feuillage Printanier
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 22.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
75
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
32
≈ 11.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAE9A11301270428693
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 21 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Saladier en porcelaine 23 cm – Motif Feuillage Printanier · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +22.2% · on-hand 32 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (175 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 0.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 21.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 312 |