Demand Forecast

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MAYBELLINE NEW YORK – Sky High Mascara Volume Extrême + Vinyl Ink 45 Rouge à Lèvres Longue Tenue
SKU · AAE9A1111260905071

MAYBELLINE NEW YORK – Sky High Mascara Volume Extrême + Vinyl Ink 45 Rouge à Lèvres Longue Tenue

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 85.7% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

18
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

18
≈ 19.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14

Unit price

MAD 132
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-07

AAE9A1111260905071

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 87 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

MAYBELLINE NEW YORK – Sky High Mascara Volume Extrême + Vinyl Ink 45 Rouge à Lèvres Longue Tenue · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -85.7% · on-hand 18 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (315 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.40 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks0.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months0.5 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		3.1 units
Optimistic — next week6.5 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.5 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)86.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.4K