Demand Forecast

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MAYBELLINE NEW YORK – Sky High Mascara Volume Extrême + Vinyl Ink 45 Rouge à Lèvres Longue Tenue
SKU · AAE9A1111260905071

MAYBELLINE NEW YORK – Sky High Mascara Volume Extrême + Vinyl Ink 45 Rouge à Lèvres Longue Tenue

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Offer Stock

28
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

28
≈ 32.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05

Unit price

MAD 131
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31

AAE9A1111260905071

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

MAYBELLINE NEW YORK – Sky High Mascara Volume Extrême + Vinyl Ink 45 Rouge à Lèvres Longue Tenue · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, stable demand · on-hand 28 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.36 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week2.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks9.2 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months30.3 units
Optimistic — next week4.9 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)19.6 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)66.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.7K