Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A09302031255671
Casserole – 18 x 6,5 cm – 1,6 L - Hascevher Lavilla
longtail
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
20
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
20
≈ 13.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 43
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AAE9A09302031255671
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casserole – 18 x 6,5 cm – 1,6 L - Hascevher Lavilla · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (175 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 40.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 80.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |