Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A0902231143070
Garnier Eau Micellaire Peau Sensible 400 ml – Coton Gratuit Inclus
midtail
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 8.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
1
≈ 0.2 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAE9A0902231143070
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Garnier Eau Micellaire Peau Sensible 400 ml – Coton Gratuit Inclus · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +8.3% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (105 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |