Demand Forecast

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OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : SERUM HA PURE + SHP 200 ML = TROUSSE BLANCHE
SKU · AAE9A0811111044004

OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : SERUM HA PURE + SHP 200 ML = TROUSSE BLANCHE

longtail 1P CAPILLAIRE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 97
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-08

AAE9A0811111044004

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

OFFRE CAPILLAIRE : SERUM HA PURE + SHP 200 ML = TROUSSE BLANCHE · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (196 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks5.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months18.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)18.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)59.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.7K