Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A0701270839118
Assiette Plate Ronde 18 cm "Jardin d’Azur" – Porcelaine Décorée aux Motifs Floraux Méditerranéens
hero
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
10
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
248
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-23
AAE9A0701270839118
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 1573 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Assiette Plate Ronde 18 cm "Jardin d’Azur" – Porcelaine Décorée aux Motifs Floraux Méditerranéens · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (238 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 517.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 16.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 86.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 1572.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.3K |