Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A0701130209109
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Noir - 1 x 1 x 1 - Mauve
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 11.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
407
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
407
≈ 143.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 11
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAE9A0701130209109
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 176 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Noir - 1 x 1 x 1 - Mauve · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +11.1% · on-hand 407 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (175 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 24.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 82.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 175.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |