Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A063512261049927
Aiguiseur de Couteaux Professionnel à Pierre Diamant – Double Face – Haute Dureté – Base Silicone Antidérapante - 12.5 x 16 x 4.5 cm
midtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE CUISINE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
29
▼ 55.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAE9A063512261049927
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 406 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Aiguiseur de Couteaux Professionnel à Pierre Diamant – Double Face – Haute Dureté – Base Silicone Antidérapante - 12.5 x 16 x 4.5 cm · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 29 units, trending down -55.4% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 29 units · prev 4w = 65 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 20.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 64.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 146.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 37.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 152.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 405.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 11.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.9K |