Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A0201210308111
Boîte de rangement Lumira – Capacité 1,8 L – Hobby Life - Gris Foncé
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
34
▲ 88.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
8
≈ 3.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-12
AAE9A0201210308111
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 217 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement Lumira – Capacité 1,8 L – Hobby Life - Gris Foncé · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 34 units, trending up +88.9% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 34 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 50.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 27.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 217.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.6K |