Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A02004091010137
RELAX LOUNGE AVEC ACCOUDOIRS 140×59×97 CM 800689 – Confort et Détente
longtail
1P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 288
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-07-22
AAE9A02004091010137
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 100 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
RELAX LOUNGE AVEC ACCOUDOIRS 140×59×97 CM 800689 – Confort et Détente · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (84 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.96 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 99.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 28.8K |