Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A01603171235395
Chaise empilable en PP Lumina beige – M30 HDO7407
longtail
1P
SIEGE - ASSISE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
4
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
4
≈ 1.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 183
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-09-12
AAE9A01603171235395
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 142 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise empilable en PP Lumina beige – M30 HDO7407 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (140 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.36 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 32.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 43.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 141.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.9K |