Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A01004081207241
PARASOL DE PLAGE BLEU 1,8 M 1103,000-3 – Protection Solaire et Design Estival
midtail
1P
AMENAGEMENT EXTERIEUR - DU JARDIN
Last 4 weeks demand
30
▲ 76.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
1
≈ 0.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 95
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAE9A01004081207241
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 155 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
PARASOL DE PLAGE BLEU 1,8 M 1103,000-3 – Protection Solaire et Design Estival · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 30 units, trending up +76.5% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (105 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 30 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 20.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 70.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 155.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.8K |