Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A00102031255071
Plateau rectangulaire – 20 x 16cm - 1,4 L - Hascevher Lavilla
longtail
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 77.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
42
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
42
≈ 53.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-07-22
AAE9A00102031255071
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plateau rectangulaire – 20 x 16cm - 1,4 L - Hascevher Lavilla · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -77.8% · on-hand 42 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (161 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.53 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 34.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.2K |