Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A0001211128396
Set de 6 Verres à Eau - BRIGHTNESS - 250ml - TM410H
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
34
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
20
≈ 12.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-09
AAE9A0001211128396
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 6 Verres à Eau - BRIGHTNESS - 250ml - TM410H · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 9.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 113.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |