Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A0001211128396
Set de 6 Verres à Eau - BRIGHTNESS - 250ml - TM410H
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
38
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
35
≈ 17.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-03
AAE9A0001211128396
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 154 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 6 Verres à Eau - BRIGHTNESS - 250ml - TM410H · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 35 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (147 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 24.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 73.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 47.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 153.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.0K |