Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A0001210845469
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - 1 x 1 x 1 - Noir
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▼ 17.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
32
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
32
≈ 11.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAE9A0001210845469
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 165 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - 1 x 1 x 1 - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending down -17.4% · on-hand 33 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (189 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 23 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 25.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 74.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 165.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |