Demand Forecast

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Crème Hydratante Visage 50 ml – Hydrate, Lisse et Illumine le Teint à l’Acide Hyaluronique et Vitamine C
SKU · AABOG71861

Crème Hydratante Visage 50 ml – Hydrate, Lisse et Illumine le Teint à l’Acide Hyaluronique et Vitamine C

hero 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

12
▼ 52.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

8
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AABOG71861

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 255 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Crème Hydratante Visage 50 ml – Hydrate, Lisse et Illumine le Teint à l’Acide Hyaluronique et Vitamine C · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -52.0% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (238 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 25 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week5.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks25.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months71.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week13.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)71.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)255.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)5.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 10.6K