Demand Forecast

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Crème Hydratante Visage 50 ml – Hydrate, Lisse et Illumine le Teint à l’Acide Hyaluronique et Vitamine C
SKU · AABOG71861

Crème Hydratante Visage 50 ml – Hydrate, Lisse et Illumine le Teint à l’Acide Hyaluronique et Vitamine C

midtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

6
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

982
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 39
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28

AABOG71861

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 241 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Crème Hydratante Visage 50 ml – Hydrate, Lisse et Illumine le Teint à l’Acide Hyaluronique et Vitamine C · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 983 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (357 days of history, 321 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 16 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.3 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks5.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months98.8 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		14.2 units
Optimistic — next week8.5 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)41.0 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)240.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 9.3K