Demand Forecast
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SKU · AABOB69504
Lot de 2 Housses de chaise imprimées 43 x 43 cm 140 gsm - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P
COUSSIN ET HOUSSE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 77.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
4
≈ 2.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 76
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AABOB69504
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 141 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 2 Housses de chaise imprimées 43 x 43 cm 140 gsm - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -77.8% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (189 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 43.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 141.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.8K |