Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABOB61143
Lampe de table pagode 11 × 29 cm – Modèle DEA-JS-J-01
longtail
1P + 3P
LUMINAIRE D'INTERIEUR
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 93.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
133
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
2
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 89
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AABOB61143
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 30 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lampe de table pagode 11 × 29 cm – Modèle DEA-JS-J-01 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -93.5% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.64 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 31 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 30.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |