Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABNY67899
INGCO - Jeu de 2 embouts S2 PH2 25mm
longtail
3P
OUTIL A MAIN
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
87
≈ 34.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-24
AABNY67899
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 143 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
INGCO - Jeu de 2 embouts S2 PH2 25mm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 87 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 142.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 990 |