Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABNS22662
Nokia 2720 Flip – Téléphone Portable Double SIM – Noir – Clapet, Grand Clavier et Bouton d’Urgence
midtail
3P
SMARTPHONE - MOBILE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 52.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 274
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AABNS22662
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Nokia 2720 Flip – Téléphone Portable Double SIM – Noir – Clapet, Grand Clavier et Bouton d’Urgence · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -52.4% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.52 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 21 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 39.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 110.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.3K |