Demand Forecast
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SKU · AABNN52234
Mouchoirs blancs Lot 2x550 unités - DALAA
longtail
3P
PAPIERS
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 700.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
131
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AABNN52234
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 140 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mouchoirs blancs Lot 2x550 unités - DALAA · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +700.0% · on-hand 131 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 35.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 139.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |