Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABNN52229
CITYTEK - Écouteurs TWS Bluetooth Photo MF109399 — Sans fil, microphone, autonomie 20 h - Blanc
longtail
1P + 3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
24
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
15
≈ 13.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 90
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AABNN52229
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 86 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CITYTEK - Écouteurs TWS Bluetooth Photo MF109399 — Sans fil, microphone, autonomie 20 h - Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (287 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 86.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.7K |