Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABMR33983
Pack 2 Flamingo Quick Fresh — 220 ml (F139)
longtail
3P
NETTOYAGE - LIQUIDES ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
90
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 125
avg of last 21 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AABMR33983
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack 2 Flamingo Quick Fresh — 220 ml (F139) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 90 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.69 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 122.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.2K |