Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABMN63177
Nettoyeur de Dents étanche Hydropulseur Dentaire 3 Modes et 4 Buses 220 ML
longtail
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
109
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 171
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AABMN63177
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Nettoyeur de Dents étanche Hydropulseur Dentaire 3 Modes et 4 Buses 220 ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 110 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 40.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 71.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.3K |