Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABMM19473
Mug - GENERIC - Bonheur - 400 ml - Beige - Élégant - Compatible lave-vaisselle - motif aléatoire
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
927
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
2
≈ 0.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AABMM19473
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 322 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mug - GENERIC - Bonheur - 400 ml - Beige - Élégant - Compatible lave-vaisselle - motif aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (287 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 23.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 120.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 321.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.1K |