Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABMG42707
Bureau simple - GENERIC - 1070 x 600 x 700 mm - Finition Noyer extra - Bois - Chambre
hero
1P + 3P
MEUBLE DE BUREAU
Last 4 weeks demand
34
▲ 277.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
335
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
270
≈ 14.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 306
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AABMG42707
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 240 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bureau simple - GENERIC - 1070 x 600 x 700 mm - Finition Noyer extra - Bois - Chambre · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 34 units, trending up +277.8% · on-hand 270 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (308 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.55 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 34 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 39.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 110.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 78.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 240.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 73.5K |