Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABKX69429
LUXUS – Aspirateur Sans Sac – CleanPro – 1000 W, 1,5 L – Noir
midtail
1P
ENTRETIEN DES SOLS - ENTRETIEN DE LA MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 27.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
18
≈ 2.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 241
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AABKX69429
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 130 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
LUXUS – Aspirateur Sans Sac – CleanPro – 1000 W, 1,5 L – Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -27.8% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.34 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 39.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 43.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 129.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 31.2K |