Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABKW84753
Câble Type-C vers Lightning 27W – PVC – 1 m – Charge Rapide et Synchronisation
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
35
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
35
≈ 20.2 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 27 sells · latest 2026-04-23
AABKW84753
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Câble Type-C vers Lightning 27W – PVC – 1 m – Charge Rapide et Synchronisation · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 35 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |