Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABKW84753
Câble Type-C vers Lightning 27W – PVC – 1 m – Charge Rapide et Synchronisation
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
27
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
27
≈ 19.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL
Unit price
MAD 31
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AABKW84753
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Câble Type-C vers Lightning 27W – PVC – 1 m – Charge Rapide et Synchronisation · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 27 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 36.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.2K |