Demand Forecast

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Eau de parfum - Eau de Lacoste Noire - 30 ml - Boisé - Aromatique
SKU · AABKJ82949

Eau de parfum - Eau de Lacoste Noire - 30 ml - Boisé - Aromatique

longtail 3P PARFUM
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▼ 58.8% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

39
≈ 16.5 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 47
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AABKJ82949

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 73 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Eau de parfum - Eau de Lacoste Noire - 30 ml - Boisé - Aromatique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -58.8% · on-hand 39 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 17 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)73.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.5K