Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABJZ52230
Assiette plate - GENERIC - Noblesse - Porcelaine blanche - 30 cm - Compatible lave-vaisselle
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
11
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
8
≈ 15.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 64
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-10-10
AABJZ52230
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 99 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Assiette plate - GENERIC - Noblesse - Porcelaine blanche - 30 cm - Compatible lave-vaisselle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, 26 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 1.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 98.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.3K |