Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABJY72569
Verres à café - Set de 3 - 450 ml - Beige - Compatible lave-vaisselle
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
118
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
21
≈ 17.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AABJY72569
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres à café - Set de 3 - 450 ml - Beige - Compatible lave-vaisselle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 21 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (266 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 12.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 49.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 588 |