Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABJK24166
Mini Vélo d’Exercice Portable avec Écran LCD – Pédalier pour Bras et Jambes
midtail
3P
CYCLES
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 70.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
998
≈ 212.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 135
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AABJK24166
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 145 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini Vélo d’Exercice Portable avec Écran LCD – Pédalier pour Bras et Jambes · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -70.6% · on-hand 998 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (266 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.37 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 43.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 144.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.6K |