Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABIS93849
Garnier Ultra Doux – Shampoing Trésor de Miel Réparateur 400 ml
longtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
127
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
8
≈ 12.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 21 sells · latest 2026-07-16
AABIS93849
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Garnier Ultra Doux – Shampoing Trésor de Miel Réparateur 400 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |