Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABHY59259
Masque Yeux au Rétinol Guanjing 60 pcs – Anti-Cernes et Réduction des Poches
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 8.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,586
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-23
AABHY59259
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 89 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Masque Yeux au Rétinol Guanjing 60 pcs – Anti-Cernes et Réduction des Poches · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -8.3% · on-hand 1586 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (385 days of history, 171 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 88.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |