Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABFU89957
Magnesium Glycinate Bisgycinate + Vitamine B6 Haute concentration 1422 mg 180 Gélules Origine Angleterre
hero
3P
PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Last 4 weeks demand
61
≈ stable (-3.2% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 277
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AABFU89957
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 340 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Magnesium Glycinate Bisgycinate + Vitamine B6 Haute concentration 1422 mg 180 Gélules Origine Angleterre · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 61 units, stable demand · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 61 units · prev 4w = 63 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 17.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 63.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 145.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 31.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 132.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 340.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 11.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 94.2K |