Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABFA62966
Curl Hair Brush,Brosse à cheveux bouclés,Violet
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AABFA62966
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Curl Hair Brush,Brosse à cheveux bouclés,Violet · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +75.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, 67 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.56 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 39.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 74.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |