Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABDV73978
Multicube - GENERIC - 3 Niveaux - Blanc - Bois massif - 3 étagères
longtail
1P + 3P
MEUBLE DE SEJOUR - ENTREE
Last 4 weeks demand
31
≈ stable (-3.1% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
7
≈ 2.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 160
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AABDV73978
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 178 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Multicube - GENERIC - 3 Niveaux - Blanc - Bois massif - 3 étagères · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 31 units, stable demand · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, 125 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.12 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 31 units · prev 4w = 32 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 27.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 92.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 178.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 28.4K |