Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABDR15292
Sac de lavage pour chaussures, reutilisable, en maille, pour toutes les chaussures (jaune)
longtail
3P
MATERIEL SOIN DU LINGE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▲ 140.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
132
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 69
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-03
AABDR15292
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac de lavage pour chaussures, reutilisable, en maille, pour toutes les chaussures (jaune) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending up +140.0% · on-hand 133 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (350 days of history, 80 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.99 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 6.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |