Demand Forecast

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Old Spice Déodorant Antiperspirant Pure Sport Invisible Solid Stick – 85 g – Haute endurance
SKU · AABCR08802

Old Spice Déodorant Antiperspirant Pure Sport Invisible Solid Stick – 85 g – Haute endurance

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

207
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-01

AABCR08802

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 46 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Old Spice Déodorant Antiperspirant Pure Sport Invisible Solid Stick – 85 g – Haute endurance · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 218 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (413 days of history, 50 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks1.9 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months2.3 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		6.1 units
Optimistic — next week4.2 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)15.5 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)45.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.0K